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Experts warn New York: you could be nextMajor Hurricane30FT StormSurge

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I grabbed this gif below from a forum that was discussing the article. Many were claiming the prediction is a bit 'chicken little' if you will because the ocean temp. near NYC is just too cool to support a category 3 or larger storm..hence weakening before landfall. Perhaps a weather buff would like to comment on the realistic possibility. I live in New Jersey and have weathered over a dozen Hurricanes and Tropical Storms in my 44 years. Never has one been more than a category 1. Although the flooding has been on par a few times with the events in the Southern US recently without the wind or severe storm surge.

-- Keith

Experts warn New York: you could be next

By Geoffrey Lean, Environment Editor

Published: 25 September 2005

Experts are predicting still more hurricanes, in what could be the worst year for the storms since records began. The US government's official National Hurricane Center and scientists at Colorado State University, who predicted both Katrina and Rita, expect several more named storms in the remaining two months of the hurricane season. And the World Meteorological Organisation believes that the record of 21, set in 1933, may be beaten.

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Some of these storms could hit the US, and experts say New York could be the next city to be devastated. The area around the Big Apple is listed by the Center as the fifth most vulnerable in the country, after New Orleans, the Florida Keys, Tampa in Florida and Galveston in Texas, all targeted by hurricanes in the past two years.

Max Mayfield, director of the Center, told Congress that Katrina "will not be the last major hurricane to hit a vulnerable area, and New Orleans is not the only location vulnerable to a large disaster from a land-falling hurricane".

Local experts say that such a catastrophe is "inevitable", and the New York City authorities warn that it could bring a 30ft-high storm surge crashing into Manhattan.

The city says at least a million New Yorkers are at risk, and has drawn up plans to evacuate those within 10 blocks of the water. But the city could have less warning than Texas or Louisiana, since hurricanes move faster as they head northwards.

Experts are predicting still more hurricanes, in what could be the worst year for the storms since records began. The US government's official National Hurricane Center and scientists at Colorado State University, who predicted both Katrina and Rita, expect several more named storms in the remaining two months of the hurricane season. And the World Meteorological Organisation believes that the record of 21, set in 1933, may be beaten.

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Some of these storms could hit the US, and experts say New York could be the next city to be devastated. The area around the Big Apple is listed by the Center as the fifth most vulnerable in the country, after New Orleans, the Florida Keys, Tampa in Florida and Galveston in Texas, all targeted by hurricanes in the past two years. Max Mayfield, director of the Center, told Congress that Katrina "will not be the last major hurricane to hit a vulnerable area, and New Orleans is not the only location vulnerable to a large disaster from a land-falling hurricane".

Local experts say that such a catastrophe is "inevitable", and the New York City authorities warn that it could bring a 30ft-high storm surge crashing into Manhattan.

The city says at least a million New Yorkers are at risk, and has drawn up plans to evacuate those within 10 blocks of the water. But the city could have less warning than Texas or Louisiana, since hurricanes move faster as they head northwards.

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